India’s real estate market is expected to contract by at least 50 per cent over the next decade, according to a new report by consultancy CBRE.
It found that cities with strong fundamentals have the lowest risks and are best-placed to attract investors.
“There is a significant chance that India’s housing market will become even more volatile than it is today, as investors will start to turn their eyes away from cities with weaker fundamentals,” said Keshav Shah, senior managing director at CBRE, in a statement.
“These cities are expected to experience a sharp decline in home prices, as the demand from investors is expected rise substantially.”
The report’s authors said that the best-performing cities were Mumbai, Bengaluru, Kolkata, Chennai and Hyderabad.
“While some cities have been performing well over the last few years, the other two are expected be performing well now as well, said Shah.
The researchers believe that the real estate boom in India is due to the country’s growth in the last decade, which has seen an influx of capital from abroad.”
The combination of rising demand and the rising cost of housing is expected in the coming years,” said Shah, adding that the country is poised to become one of the fastest-growing markets in the world in terms of the number of properties per capita.
The CBRE report says that India is likely to become the fourth-largest economy in the next three years and has a potential to become a “third-world economy”.
According to the report, real estate in the country has witnessed a rapid increase over the past few years due to rising incomes and rising demand for properties.”
Real estate prices in India have doubled in the past decade, and are expected in 2019 to double again, in line with the national average,” the report said.”
With this growth in demand, investors are also looking for properties at prices higher than the national median,” said the report.
Real estate investors in India are expected, as well as buyers and sellers, to remain wary of the sector, especially if the market is volatile.
CBRE expects that the market will remain volatile until 2020, when the country will experience a “significant slowdown” due to a slowdown in growth.”
If this slowdown continues, there is a high risk that the growth in real estate is likely not to return in the near future, due to factors such as the recent GST hike and the impending impact of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) on the economy,” the firm added.”
Furthermore, there will be pressure on the local real estate sector to increase prices to counter this pressure.